{"id":117733,"date":"2025-05-26T07:36:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-26T07:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/?p=117733"},"modified":"2025-05-26T07:36:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T07:36:09","slug":"piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/26\/piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

TCMB, Temmuz ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin “Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi” sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi, reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 65 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yan\u0131tland\u0131 ve sonu\u00e7lar kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131 toplula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,52 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,95 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 31,79 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 30,02 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 20,33 ve y\u00fczde 19,32 oldu.<\/p>\n

Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde olu\u015ftu:<\/strong> “2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 36,57 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 25,00 \u2013 28,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 41,38 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 29,00 \u2013 32,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 10,82 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 33,00 – 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 31,67\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 25,00 \u2013 28,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,00\u2019\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 29,00 \u2013 32,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 33,00 \u2013 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Temmuz ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 23,59 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 14,00 \u2013 17,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 50,61 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 18,00 \u2013 21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 16,49 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 22,00 \u2013 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re,24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 22,64\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 14,00 – 17,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 47,17\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 18,00 \u2013 21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 20,75\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 22,00 \u2013 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 50,77 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 50,30 olmu\u015ftur. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fczde 50,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 37,75 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 37,37 TL olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 41,41 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 41,52 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,3 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. GSYH 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,7 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.”<\/p>\n\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-geriledi-7159493<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) anketinde piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi %43,52’den %42,95’e geriledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":117734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7803,7802,3795,394,2528],"class_list":["post-117733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-iken","tag-katilimcilari","tag-olasilik","tag-sonu","tag-tufe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117733"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117733\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117735,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117733\/revisions\/117735"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}