Komisyonun “Avrupa Ekonomik \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc 2025 Sonbahar” raporu yay\u0131mland\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde i\u00e7 talep y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 4,8 oldu. Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 5,1 ve y\u00fczde 8,8 olarak hesaplan\u0131rken, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte de ekonomik performans\u0131n genel olarak de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Ekonominin diren\u00e7li kalarak bu y\u0131l ve 2026’da y\u00fczde 3,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 4’e y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketiminin, y\u00fcksek alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 servet etkisi ve istihdamdaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n devam etmesiyle desteklenerek, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ana itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’de finansal ko\u015fullar ve ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn iyile\u015fmesiyle yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde artmas\u0131 beklenirken, ticaret ve cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n genel olarak istikrarl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130stihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ise yava\u015f yava\u015f h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin 2025-2027 d\u00f6neminde b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmeden y\u00fczde 8,6 seviyesinde kalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00a0<\/p>\n
ENFLASYONUN D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcR\u00dcLMES\u0130 \u00d6NCEL\u0130KL\u0130 HEDEF <\/strong><\/p>\n Rapora g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye’de enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi \u00f6ncelikli hedef olmaya devam ediyor. Hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi olumsuz etkilemesiyle g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f, hizmet enflasyonunun diren\u00e7li seyretmesi ve alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015ftururken, bu ortamda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 duru\u015fuyla destekleniyor.<\/p>\n Kademeli olarak gerilemesi beklenen enflasyonun bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 35,4 ve 2026’da y\u00fczde 24,8 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi ve 2027’ye y\u00fczde 17,7’ye gerileyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ise GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 3’\u00fc civar\u0131nda kalmaya devam etmesi, depremle ilgili harcamalar hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011funda daha s\u0131k\u0131 mali duru\u015fun bu y\u0131l ve gelecek 2 y\u0131l boyunca enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine hafif destek olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n Kamu borcunun GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 25’e yak\u0131n bir seviyeyle \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyredece\u011fi ve k\u0131sa vadeli risklerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n “BEL\u0130RS\u0130ZL\u0130KLER N\u0130SPETEN BA\u015eARILI \u015eEK\u0130LDE Y\u00d6NET\u0130LD\u0130” <\/strong><\/p>\n AB Komisyonuna g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi son y\u0131llarda ya\u015fanan y\u00fcksek jeopolitik ve i\u00e7 belirsizlikleri nispeten ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6netti. \u0130lkbaharda ya\u015fanan i\u00e7 siyasi gerilimler finansal dalgalanmalara neden olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen piyasalar nispeten h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde istikrar kazan\u0131rken, “son d\u00f6nemde uygulanan sa\u011flam politikalar”, azalan ekonomik dengesizlikler ve artan \u00f6nlemlerin, ortodoks ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n kararl\u0131l\u0131kla s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi halinde T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu zorluklar\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n Raporda, AB ekonomisinde ise ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ocak-eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, AB ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda ve 2026’da y\u00fczde 1,4 olaca\u011f\u0131 ve 2027’de y\u00fczde 1,7’ye y\u00fckselece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n\n <\/p>\n Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/ab-komisyonu-turkiye-ekonomisinin-direncli-kalmaya-devam-edecegini-ongordu-7484882<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) Komisyonu T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l ve 2026’da y\u00fczde 3,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek diren\u00e7li kalmaya devam edece\u011fini ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2027’de y\u00fczde 4’e y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":139746,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[124,365,4509,8060,146],"class_list":["post-139745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-ekonomik","tag-enflasyonun","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=139745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":139747,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139745\/revisions\/139747"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/139746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=139745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=139745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=139745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}