{"id":141440,"date":"2025-11-20T15:42:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T15:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/?p=141440"},"modified":"2025-11-20T15:42:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T15:42:10","slug":"prof-dr-usumezsoydan-istanbul-icin-ezber-bozan-deprem-aciklamasi-tesisat-var-ama-cereyan-yok","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/20\/prof-dr-usumezsoydan-istanbul-icin-ezber-bozan-deprem-aciklamasi-tesisat-var-ama-cereyan-yok\/","title":{"rendered":"Prof. Dr. \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy&#8217;dan \u0130stanbul i\u00e7in ezber bozan deprem a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131: Tesisat var ama cereyan yok"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Prof. Dr. \u015eener \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy, d\u00fcn ak\u015fam sosyal medya hesab\u0131ndan Yalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k-Esenk\u00f6y fay hatt\u0131na dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu. \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede potansiyelinin 6.5&#8217;lik deprem oldu\u011funu ancak 1894&#8217;te buradaki stresin bo\u015fald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde bu b\u00f6lgede meydana gelen depremleri ele alan \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy \u201cYalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k-Esenk\u00f6y fay hatt\u0131nda tesisat var ama cereyan yoktur&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yapt\u0131:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>FAYIN \u00dcZER\u0130NDE STRES YOKSA DEPREM OLMAZ<\/strong><\/p>\n<section>\n<div>\n<p>\u201cYalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k-Esenk\u00f6y fay hatt\u0131nda tesisat var ama cereyan yoktur. Bu esprili ifade 99 y\u0131l\u0131nda 17 A\u011fustos\u2019ta k\u0131r\u0131lan fay\u0131n, Esenk\u00f6y\u2019den Bozburun\u2019a do\u011fru giden bir uzan\u0131m i\u00e7inde Te\u015fvikiye\u2019de (\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k) sonland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, art\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Te\u015fvikiye\u2019de oldu\u011funu vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Buda buradaki fay\u0131n uzunlu\u011funu, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, derinli\u011fini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman potansiyel olarak 6.5\u2019lik depremdir ama \u2018buna 6.5\u2019lik tesisat vard\u0131r\u2019 diyebiliriz fakat cereyan yoktur \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 1894 depreminde \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k \u00e7ukurunun g\u00fcney kenar\u0131ndaki fay k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f b\u00f6yle olunca \u0130stanbul ile Mudanya aras\u0131ndaki blo\u011fun aras\u0131ndaki stres bo\u015falm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu bo\u015fal\u0131nca 17 A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u00fcklenen cereyan yani stres fay\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na imkan vermemektedir. Oysa D\u00fczce\u2019de bu simetrik olan fayda stres y\u00fckl\u00fc oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in 17 A\u011fustos\u2019tan sonra 12 Kas\u0131m\u2019da k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ama \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k Esenk\u00f6y, Bozburun hatt\u0131ndan 1894 depremi stresi bo\u015faltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in orada 1894&#8217;den bu yana \u00f6nemli bir stres birikmedi. 1999&#8217;da y\u00fcklenen stres buradaki fay\u0131 k\u0131rmaya m\u00fcsait olmayan, deprem yapmaya m\u00fcsait olmayan bir gerilim s\u00f6z konusudur. Depremde risk fay\u0131n gerilimiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar. Esprili bir \u015fekilde yani fay var ama fay\u0131n \u00fczerinde stres yoksa deprem olmaz.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>G\u00f6lc\u00fck Fay\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki en kuvvetli faylardan biri oldu\u011funu dile getiren \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy; &#8220;Bu boyutuyla 1509\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fck at\u0131mla k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olan bu fay \u00fczerinde, iki yan\u0131nda 1719 do\u011fuda Sapanca ve Mudurnu fay\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken 1766\u2019ta bat\u0131da Yalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k fay\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1894\u2019te bat\u0131da yeterli at\u0131mla k\u0131r\u0131lmayan Yalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k fay\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Yalova fay\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k G\u00f6lc\u00fck fay\u0131nda bir k\u0131r\u0131lma olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.&#8221; dedi.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;1999\u2019da Yalova G\u00f6lc\u00fck Sapanca fay\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu anlamda kuvvetli faylar\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lma periyodlar\u0131 daha uzundur. Zay\u0131f faylar ise k\u0131r\u0131lma stresi de\u011fi\u015fik oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in t\u00fcm stresini bo\u015faltt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha s\u0131k s\u0131k aralarla k\u0131r\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu anlamda \u0130stanbul\u2019u etkileyen depremlerin Mudurnu, Sapanca, G\u00f6lc\u00fck, Yalova, \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k hatt\u0131ndaki k\u0131r\u0131lmalar faylar\u0131n kuvvetli ve zay\u0131f olu\u015fu mekanizmas\u0131yla bak\u0131larak klasik bir her 250 y\u0131lda bir k\u0131r\u0131lma de\u011fil, zay\u0131f fay modeline g\u00f6re k\u0131r\u0131lma tarihi s\u00f6z konusudur.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c1894 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lan Yalova fay\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir at\u0131mla k\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k-Esenk\u00f6y-Bozburun\u2019a do\u011fru ilerlerken k\u0131r\u0131lma \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131s\u0131nda sonlanm\u0131\u015f g\u00fcneye do\u011fru giden kesimde 1999\u2019da stres y\u00fcklenmi\u015ftir.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c1894 ve 1999 depremleri G\u00f6lc\u00fck K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden ba\u015flay\u0131p \u0130stanbul\u2019un bat\u0131s\u0131na kadar gelen kesimlerdeki stresi bitirmi\u015ftir.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cArmutlu Yar\u0131madas\u0131 ile \u0130slam Da\u011flar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ters y\u00f6ndeki hareket sonucu olu\u015fan stres, bu son iki depremle b\u00fct\u00fcn stresini bo\u015faltm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8216;STRES OLMADI\u011eI \u0130\u00c7\u0130N R\u0130SK YOKTUR&#8217;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cPotansiyel \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k-Esenk\u00f6y bozburun fay\u0131nda deprem potansiyeli olabilir derken buradaki potansiyel fay\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anlam\u0131ndad\u0131r. Stres olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in risk yoktur. Sonu\u00e7 olarak Yalova \u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k fay\u0131nda 1999\u2019dan sonra bir stres s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fildir.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c1894 ve 1999 depremi Yalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k hatt\u0131ndaki depremselli\u011fi bitirmi\u015ftir. K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesinde de stres bo\u015falm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/gundem\/prof-dr-usumezsoydan-istanbul-icin-ezber-bozan-deprem-aciklamasi-tesisat-var-ama-cereyan-yok-7487044<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beklenen \u0130stanbul depremi ile ilgi tart\u0131\u015fmalar devam ederken, Prof. Dr. \u015eener \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy&#8217;dan \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar geldi. \u00dc\u015f\u00fcmezsoy; 1894 ve 1999 depremi Yalova-\u00c7\u0131narc\u0131k hatt\u0131ndaki depremselli\u011fi bitirdi\u011fini belirterek: &#8220;Fay var ama fay\u0131n \u00fczerinde stres yoksa deprem olmaz&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":141441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[9516,583,2413,5285,5313],"class_list":["post-141440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guncel","tag-cinarcik","tag-deprem","tag-fay","tag-stres","tag-yalova"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141440"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141440\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":141442,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141440\/revisions\/141442"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/141441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}