Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun aral\u0131k say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “Artan bilgi teknolojisi yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 ABD’deki yava\u015flamay\u0131 hafifletiyor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, artan bilgi teknolojisi yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve canl\u0131 hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan servet etkilerinin tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ABD ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki etkisini hafifletti\u011fi belirtilerek, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin de beklenenden daha iyi seyretmesiyle 2025 ve 2026 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Fitch’in raporunda, b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerindeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonlara ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 2024’teki y\u00fczde 2,9 seviyesinden bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5’e ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4’e yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 2,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fitch, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD, AVRO B\u00d6LGES\u0130 VE \u00c7\u0130N EKONOM\u0130LER\u0130N\u0130N BU YILK\u0130 B\u00dcY\u00dcME TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130NDE YUKARI Y\u00d6NL\u00dc REV\u0130ZYON<\/strong><\/p>\n Raporda, ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,6’dan y\u00fczde 1,8’e ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,6’dan y\u00fczde 1,9’a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, \u00fclke ekonomisinin 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 2,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 1,4’e ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde 1,3’e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi aktar\u0131lan raporda, b\u00f6lge ekonomisinin 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 1,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi.<\/p>\n Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,7’den y\u00fczde 4,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2026 ve 2027 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak korundu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n T\u00dcRK\u0130YE’N\u0130N BU YILA \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcME TAHM\u0130N\u0130 Y\u00dcKSELT\u0130LD\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine dair de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,5’ten y\u00fczde 3,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2026 ve 2027 y\u0131llar\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinde ise de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gidilmedi\u011fi, \u00fclke ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5 ve 2027’de y\u00fczde 4,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n YAPAY ZEKA BEL\u0130RG\u0130N B\u0130R MAKROEKONOM\u0130K ETK\u0130YE SAH\u0130P<\/strong><\/p>\n Fitch’in raporunda, yapay zekan\u0131n belirgin bir makroekonomik etkiye sahip oldu\u011fu vurgulanarak, ABD’nin bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin neredeyse y\u00fczde 90’\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan bilgi teknolojisi sermaye harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret edildi.<\/p>\n Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f ve yapay zeka ile ilgili sermaye harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n finansal sistemde “balon” risklerine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, ABD hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7ok de\u011ferleme \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kesinlikle \u00e7ok zengin g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ancak sermaye harcamas\u0131 patlamas\u0131n\u0131n bir ivmeye sahip oldu\u011fu ve \u015fu a\u015famada \u015firket bor\u00e7lulu\u011funda belirgin bir art\u0131\u015fla ili\u015fkili olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n Ayr\u0131ca raporda, ABD, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ve \u0130ngiltere’de politika faizlerinin 2026’n\u0131n ortas\u0131na kadar “n\u00f6tr” seviyelere yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edildi\u011fi de aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) aral\u0131kta faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ancak tarife \u015fokunun istikrar kazanmas\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle birlikte hazirana kadar 3 faiz indirimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n da i\u015fsizli\u011fin belirgin \u015fekilde artmas\u0131yla 2026’da 3 kez faiz indirmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan ise ilave bir faiz indirimi beklenmedi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n <\/p>\n Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/fitch-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti-7495227<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,4’ten y\u00fczde 2,5’e, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,3’den y\u00fczde 2,4’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine dair de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,5’ten y\u00fczde 3,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":149110,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[431,124,9962,5237,1891],"class_list":["post-149109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomisi","tag-raporda","tag-tahmin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149109","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149109"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149109\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":149111,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149109\/revisions\/149111"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/149110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}