{"id":167263,"date":"2026-01-12T20:36:19","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T20:36:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/?p=167263"},"modified":"2026-01-12T20:36:19","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T20:36:19","slug":"cinden-itiraf-yapay-zekada-abdyi-kisa-surede-yakalayamayiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/2026\/01\/12\/cinden-itiraf-yapay-zekada-abdyi-kisa-surede-yakalayamayiz\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in\u2019den itiraf: Yapay zekada ABD\u2019yi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede yakalayamay\u0131z"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><figure> <span> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cinden-itiraf-yapay-zekada-abdyi-kisa-surede-yakalayamayiz-0-8nOknwle.jpg\"\/> <\/span> <strong>\u00c7in<\/strong>\u2019de <strong>yapay zeka <\/strong>alan\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda kaydedilen ilerlemeye ra\u011fmen \u00fclkenin <strong>ABD<\/strong>\u2019yi k\u0131sa vadede geride b\u0131rakma ihtimalinin olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131ld\u0131. \u00dcstelik bu de\u011ferlendirmeler do\u011frudan \u00c7inli bilim insanlar\u0131ndan geliyor. Uzmanlara g\u00f6re \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engeller ise <strong>\u00e7ip, hesaplama g\u00fcc\u00fc<\/strong> ve <strong>\u00fcretim<\/strong> <strong>eksikli\u011fi<\/strong>. <\/figure>\n<p><b>\u00c7in\u2019in liderli\u011fi \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ihtimal<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de d\u00fczenlenen AGI-Next zirvesinde a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapan ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lara g\u00f6re \u00c7inli \u015firketler g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc modeller geli\u015ftirse de ileri seviye yapay zeka altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n temelini olu\u015fturan donan\u0131m kaynaklar\u0131 ABD\u2019nin \u00e7ok gerisinde.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Alibaba<\/strong> Group b\u00fcnyesinde geli\u015ftirilen Qwen yapay zeka modelinin teknik lideri Lin Junyang, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki <strong>\u00fc\u00e7 ila be\u015f y\u0131l<\/strong> i\u00e7inde herhangi bir \u00c7inli \u015firketin <strong>Google DeepMind<\/strong> veya <strong>OpenAI<\/strong> gibi ABD merkezli devleri ge\u00e7me ihtimalini <strong>y\u00fczde<\/strong> <strong>20\u2019nin alt\u0131nda<\/strong> g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi. Hatta Lin, bu oran\u0131n dahi \u201c<strong>olduk\u00e7a iyimser<\/strong>\u201d bir tahmin oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. Bilim insan\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda ABD\u2019deki hesaplama kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n de bir ila iki kat daha fazla oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p><b>Ba\u015far\u0131lar yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olabilir<\/b><\/p>\n<figure> <span> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cinden-itiraf-yapay-zekada-abdyi-kisa-surede-yakalayamayiz-1-xijBs5SE.jpg\"\/> <\/span> <strong>Zhipu AI<\/strong>\u2019nin kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 ve ba\u015f yapay zeka bilim insan\u0131 <strong>Tang Jie<\/strong> de temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergiledi. Uluslararas\u0131 alanda Z.ai ad\u0131yla bilinen \u015firketin y\u00f6neticisi olan Tang, \u00c7inli modellerin son y\u0131llarda performans a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD\u2019li rakipleriyle aradaki fark\u0131 kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etti. <\/figure>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc taraf k\u0131yaslama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u00c7in men\u015feli yapay zeka modelleri, teknik performans a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli ilerleme kaydetmi\u015f durumda. Ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019deki bir\u00e7ok model kapal\u0131 kaynak olarak tutulurken \u00c7inli geli\u015ftiricilerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u00e7\u0131k kaynak yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 benimsemesi bu modellerin k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte h\u0131zla yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak a\u00e7\u0131k modellere bakmak durumu yorumlamay\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir. Zira Tang\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD\u2019li \u015firketlerin kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok say\u0131da geli\u015fmi\u015f model bulunuyor; \u201cABD&#8217;nin halka a\u00e7\u0131k olmayan bir\u00e7ok modeli oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00c7in ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki fark asl\u0131nda giderek art\u0131yor olabilir.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Panelin bir di\u011fer konu\u015fmac\u0131s\u0131 olan <strong>Tencent Holdings<\/strong>\u2019in yeni ba\u015f yapay zeka bilim insan\u0131 <strong>Yao Shunyu<\/strong> ise daha umutlu bir tablo \u00e7izdi. Daha \u00f6nce <strong>OpenAI\u2019da \u00f6nemli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara<\/strong> imza atan Yao, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 ila be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n lider yapay zeka \u015firketinin \u00c7in\u2019den \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n<p>Yao Shunyu\u2019ya g\u00f6re \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlardan biri ileri seviye yar\u0131 iletken \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in gerekli olan <strong>a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 ultraviyole<\/strong> (EUV) litografi makinelerini kendi imkanlar\u0131yla geli\u015ftirememesi. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kurumsal yapay zeka kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yeterince yayg\u0131n olmamas\u0131 ve temel yapay zeka ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131na ayr\u0131lan kaynaklar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 da s\u00fcreci yava\u015flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n<p>Kaynak\u00a0 :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.donanimhaber.com\/cin-den-itiraf-yapay-zekada-abd-yi-kisa-surede-yakalayamayiz&#8211;200782<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c7in\u2019de yapay zeka alan\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda kaydedilen ilerlemeye ra\u011fmen \u00fclkenin ABD\u2019yi k\u0131sa vadede geride b\u0131rakma ihtimalinin olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131ld\u0131. \u00dcstelik bu de\u011ferlendirmeler do\u011frudan \u00c7inli bilim insanlar\u0131ndan &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":167264,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[431,453,1776,2912,571],"class_list":["post-167263","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknoloji","tag-abd","tag-cin","tag-kaynak","tag-modeller","tag-yapay-zeka"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167263","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=167263"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167263\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":167267,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167263\/revisions\/167267"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/167264"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=167263"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=167263"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=167263"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}