{"id":67243,"date":"2024-07-20T04:12:05","date_gmt":"2024-07-20T04:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/?p=67243"},"modified":"2024-07-20T04:12:05","modified_gmt":"2024-07-20T04:12:05","slug":"fed-faiz-karari-sonrasi-gozler-piyasalarda-altin-ve-dolar-icin-carpici-tahmin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/20\/fed-faiz-karari-sonrasi-gozler-piyasalarda-altin-ve-dolar-icin-carpici-tahmin\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed faiz karar\u0131 sonras\u0131 g\u00f6zler piyasalarda! alt\u0131n ve dolar i\u00e7in \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 tahmin"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc kula\u011f\u0131 bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan Fed faiz karar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Fed beklentiler dahilinde politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek y\u00fczde 5.50 seviyesinde sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131. Kritik geli\u015fme sonras\u0131 alt\u0131n ve d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler de netle\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Peki bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasalar\u0131 ne bekliyor?<\/p>\n

P\u0130YASALARI NASIL ETK\u0130LER?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Konuyla ilgili merak edilenleri Ekonomist Hikmet Baydar, milliyet.com.tr\u2019ye a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Baydar konu\u015fmas\u0131nda \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131: \u201cZaten Fed\u2019in faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmesini beklemiyorduk. Bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD\u2019de faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 beklenmiyor. Faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyordu. ABD\u2019de enflasyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Faiz indirimi i\u00e7in hedeflenen seviyeden hala uzak oldu\u011fumuz i\u00e7in eyl\u00fcl ve kas\u0131m gibi baz\u0131 tarihler fiyatlan\u0131yor. \u015eu an faiz karar\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil. Piyasalarda etkisinin olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u2018P\u0130YASALARDA DALGALANMALARA SEBEB\u0130YET VEREB\u0130L\u0130R\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda piyasalar Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine yak\u0131n zamanda ba\u015flay\u0131p ba\u015flamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu y\u0131l ka\u00e7 faiz indirimi olaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 arayacak. \u0130\u015fte bu ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 piyasalarda dalgalanmalara sebebiyet verebilir.<\/p>\n

Faiz indirimini Fed de istiyor. Yanl\u0131\u015f bir hamle yaparsak daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olabilir, o y\u00fczden ge\u00e7 olsun, temiz olsun diyorlar. Faiz indirimini kendileri de istiyor. ABD\u2019de bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemi y\u00fcksek faizlere dayanam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

EYL\u00dcLDE FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M\u0130 M\u00dcMK\u00dcN M\u00dc?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015eu adan eyl\u00fclde faiz indirimi y\u00fczde 70\u2019lerde fiyatlan\u0131yor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 i\u00e7in indirim ihtimali y\u00fczde 90\u2019larda. Ancak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimali hala y\u00fcksek. Yaz aylar\u0131 boyunca enflasyonun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair veriler g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmeye ba\u015flarsa faiz indirimine eyl\u00fclde gidilebilir.<\/p>\n

FA\u0130Z KARARI ALTINI NASIL ETK\u0130LER?<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerde enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131 kayg\u0131lar\u0131 olu\u015funca alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. \u015eimdi \u2018alt\u0131nda Fed bask\u0131s\u0131 kalacak m\u0131?\u2019 gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bunu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

\u2018ALTINDA TEPK\u0130 ALIMI GELME \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130 Y\u00dcKSEK\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda bir tepki al\u0131m\u0131 gelme ihtimali y\u00fcksek. Ancak \u015fu anda yukar\u0131 trend i\u00e7in erken.<\/p>\n

GRAM ALTINDA BEKLENT\u0130LER NE?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gram alt\u0131nda ise Bakan \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in s\u00f6yledi\u011fi gibi ay sonunda gri listeden \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimali var. Ay sonuna do\u011fru yabanc\u0131 giri\u015fi gelme ihtimali fazla. Dolar\/TL\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket gelebilir. Bu gram alt\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkiler. Yani ons alt\u0131n y\u00fckselse bile dolar\/TL\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften dolay\u0131 gram alt\u0131n, ons alt\u0131n kadar y\u00fckselmeyebilir. Ben \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7in gram alt\u0131nda \u00e7ok fazla oynakl\u0131k beklemiyorum.<\/p>\n

DOLAR\/TL\u2019DE 30\u2019UN ALTI M\u00dcMK\u00dcN M\u00dc? \u0130\u015eTE YEN\u0130 TAHM\u0130N<\/strong><\/p>\n

Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz pozisyonu art\u0131ya ge\u00e7ti. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltma durumu olabilir. Bu da d\u00f6vizde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lanmay\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde dolar\/TL\u2019nin 30\u2019lar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 deneme ihtimali art\u0131yor. Dolar\/TL\u2019de \u015fu anda hedef 30 liran\u0131n alt\u0131d\u0131r. Merkez Bankas\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131rsa dolar\/TL\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/fed-faiz-karari-sonrasi-gozler-piyasalarda-altin-ve-dolar-icin-carpici-tahmin-7141332<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) haziran ay\u0131 faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Fed beklentiler dahilinde politika faizinde de\u011fi\u015fiklik yapmad\u0131. Peki kritik geli\u015fme sonras\u0131 alt\u0131n ve dolar i\u00e7in beklentiler neler? \u00d6zellikle son d\u00f6nemde dolar\/TL\u2019de yatay seyir hakimdi. Dolar\/TL\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklenir mi? \u0130\u015fte detaylar…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":67244,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[381,41,3611,3129,3612],"class_list":["post-67243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-altin","tag-faiz","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-ihtimali","tag-piyasalar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67243"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67243\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67245,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67243\/revisions\/67245"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67244"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}