{"id":68626,"date":"2024-07-23T02:24:06","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T02:24:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/?p=68626"},"modified":"2024-07-23T02:24:06","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T02:24:06","slug":"yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-beklentisi-degisti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/23\/yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-beklentisi-degisti\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi de\u011fi\u015fti"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 Anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 68 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131ndan elde edilen sonu\u00e7larda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,64 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,52 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,21 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 31,79 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 21,33 ve y\u00fczde 20,33 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentiler<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 31,75 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 26,00 – 29,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 34,89 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 30,00 – 33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 21,57 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 34,00 – 37,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 27,42\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 26,00 – 29,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,48\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 30,00 – 33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 24,19\u2019unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 34,00 – 37,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n

24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 21,93 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 15,00 – 18,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 49,06 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 19,00 – 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 17,33 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 23,00 – 26,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 22,81\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 15,00 – 18,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 50,88\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 19,00 – 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 14,04\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 23,00 – 26,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n

Faiz beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 51,51 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 50,77 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fczde 50,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 38,78 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 37,75 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 41,80 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 41,41 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 ve 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 3,3 ve 3,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0http:\/\/www.milliyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-beklentisi-degisti-7142099<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 38,78 TL iken, bu ayki anket d\u00f6neminde 37,75 TL oldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":68627,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3796,3797,3566,3795,2528],"class_list":["post-68626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-beklentiler","tag-beklentisi","tag-katilimci","tag-olasilik","tag-tufe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68626"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68628,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68626\/revisions\/68628"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisani.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}